Confidence Games: If Two And Two Add Up To Five, Investors Are In Trouble

News Analysis: An Istanbul, Turkey, Currency Trader, of apparent British origins, is suspected of bilking his clients for more than 130 Million Pounds ($200 Million Dollars). Using various charades, he communicated to his unfortunate investors that he was not able to pay them back  their monies. Now, this apparent  British “Bernie Madoff” style Trader made off with investors’ funds. They should have realized, in  Confidence Games: If two and two add up to five, Investors are in trouble.

We think that in 2015, many more Financial Deviances will be sprouting up like weeds on Wall Street. Accountants, Arbitrageurs, Bankers, Brokers, Fund Operators, (AABBFOs) etc. will be ‘hard-pressed’ in the forthcoming economy, which we foresee. Flimsy investment advice by self-interested “Professionals” will not be able to cope with then-present economic realities. Investors will lose billions of Euros in such investments; this, both due to fraud but also ineptness of judgement.

As always, we suggest: “Trust, But Verify”.

If you want Business and/or Investment Advice, seek out those Seasoned Professionals who put their Clients First, and they, Second. Beware of those “AABBFO” ‘Professionals’ who have the mentalities of Trollops. They will not give you a ‘Treat’ but a ‘Trick’.

Reality.

Reference: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/crime/11307920/Police-let-trader-at-centre-of-130m-con-slip-through-their-fingers.html

☆ Bermuda Casino Gambling; “Smell Tests” Are Not Required [Due To Sea Breeze]?

News Analysis: The Senate of Bermuda voted to allow for three Gaming Establishments on the island. First one would be built, then the next two would follow. During the Senate debate, the question of strengthening the proposed Casino Law to preclude miscreant behavior was suggested by some Senators. The other Senators thought such negative activities were covered already in Bermuda’s Criminal Code. The “Smell Test”  sought, was dispensed with by the majority.

It is interesting for International Businessmen, of which Bermuda has many, to note that the “Free Market Place” is hardly such. Bermuda Is To Have Casino Gambling; “Smell Tests” Are Not Required [Due To Sea Breeze]?

Internationally, there will always be the lurking “Shtarkers” who want to take advantage of the “Freiers” in all economic activities; the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) Scandal is just one example. Another example is the “Afternoon Gold Fixing Rate” in London.

One can find many examples of Accountants, Arbitrageurs, Bankers, Brokers, Fund Pool Managers, and others looking to ways to “Game the System”; the ‘Morality of the Marketplace” currently being a giant ‘Sinkhole’. “Smell Tests” can be very helpful to the Wise.

One should realize that while the aforementioned activities are actual, the adage to those who want to enter this melee is: “If you are afraid of receiving ‘fast ball pitches’, do not get up to the ‘plate’ to bat.”

Smart International Businessmen always ‘Sleep With One Eye Open”.

Reality.

Reference: http://www.royalgazette.com/article/20141217/NEWS/141219734

The Seeds of Failure are Hidden by the Dirt Covering Them

The recent failing in Brazil of a major corporation, in which Bankruptcy Protection has been requested, is an ever-present reminder of the Foibles of Man.

Seed

It seems that those who rise to the top of business hierarchies in many countries are gifted with huge egos. Properly balanced, this my be good. All too often though the reverse is true: They believe their own publicity. If they are surrounded, as they usually are, by Sycophants, they will be in deep trouble. The advisors who they entrust, learn quickly to tell them what the Nabobs want to hear [rather than what they should hear]. In listening to them, years of effort and monies, are wasted when the corporation fails.

One hearing about these “Masters of the Universe” [MUs], before their failings become public knowledge, seldom critically examines the gestation of the founding business. They keep ABSOLUTELY SECRET their founding financial sources.

Seed

A corporation is founded upon an initial idea and then is morphed into a business model.  All too often it seems the ‘Founder[s]’ of the corporation did not ab ibnitio create the idea. Instead, they quietly ‘borrowed’ the mental construction from another party. Since they were developing the idea into a business model, absolute secrecy from the actual creator is maintained vigorously. Or, through dissimulation, they let the other party in on the idea’s evolution [but represent it as having been their same idea long ago]. Lawsuits by claimants against “Founders” can ruin the business.

Seed

A misrepresentation game often played by MUs is to misrepresent the source[s] of initial funding ‘seed money’. Currently in the Information Technology [IT] Arena, one can readily infer that many “Start Up Companies” have been secretly funded by intelligence agencies or other governmental bodies. If the founder’s IT Capital requirements are too large, who better go to than “Big Brother”. “He” has the capital and will keep the secrecy of the funding since it is in his espionage interest. If information about this is released to the public, decline or failure in business is probable.

Seed

Due to the expansive reach of Organized Crime [OC], the need to “Launder” their money is an on-going problem of gigantic proportions. More established  Criminal Cartels have a plethora of Attorneys, Accountants, Economists, and others to advise them on where to invest their ill-gotten gains. Often, an area such as “Silicon Valley” in California is  ripe for exploitation by OC interests. A naïve creator of ‘Software’ or even ‘Hardware’ used in IT can be mesmerized by the quick offer of  Capital for his invention. Since he or she is not appraised of the true source of the funds [and never asks] an investment occurs by OC in the venture. As a Cancer works inside a body, the business gets “milked” of its subsequent assets [from follow-on investors], and fails.

Seed

If one looks at the ownership interest by the Founder in any public corporation and sees that it has been diluted from “100% Ownership” to a mere pittance of that amount, then caution is advised. The founder may have taken the early road to riches and quickly sold off his or her ownership to others. Perhaps the influence of “ECC 10:19” overwhelmed his judgement. In any event, he can be easily ousted by the other shareholders. His early contributions are of no concern to those who want his corporation for themselves. This is a world-wide occurrence one can read about in the financial pages.

The Bottom-Line of this brief discussion about “Seeds Sown”  is : “Trust, But Verify”.