Political Pandering and Patronage Produce Pakistan’s Perilous Pilots

Pakistan’s Civil Aviation Authority [PCAA] and the International Air Transportation Association [IATA] have announced that many of the country’s commercial airline pilots are potentially perilous. They have been flying for Pakistan’s various airlines while having fraudulent backgrounds, education, and experience, to qualify as Commercial Pilots.

Pandering and patronage might be socially acceptable behavior elsewhere, to induce a superior to do a favor. These particular misguidedly-approved Pilots’ Licenses had a deadly outcome in Pakistan. The PCAA in examining the evidence surrounding a airline, found fraudulent credentials of the cockpit crew. The Karachi crash killed 97 people.

Pakistan’s 860 pilots have approximately 200+ individuals with dubious bona fides of ‘holographic veracity’ one would analyze. Now, the PCAA is sorting through the ‘Information Swamp’ trying to determine who is actually qualified to fly commercial aircraft in Pakistan.

We find it incredible that such charades in Pilot Licensing have been occurring so long; endangering the public. Also, jeopardizing other innocent crew members, ground crews, and overflown residents [who might have a airplane crash into their homes].

We think a more Draconian methodology should be applied to governments which do not properly ‘vett’ their aircraft professionals: Immediately, upon finding ‘Systemic Abuse’, act; i.e., Prohibit other airlines from being able to fly to the offender nation. The economic travail of ‘No Freight-No Passengers’ entering a country is a necessary wake-up call for all. For a numerically lesser situation: Ground a airline’s aircraft in the particular country where it it headquartered.

This situation in Pakistan is equivalent to the U.S. Airframe who, in conjunction with the Federal Aviation Administration [FAA] were going to train pilots on their I-Pads! [Beyond airframe idiocy (so the it could make greater profits)].

We think it is time to stop ‘patronage’, as shown in mediocrity of qualifications [especially in learning to fly a commercial aircraft via I-Pad]. It is far too dangerous to the public. Citizens deserve better safety; they also deserve government bureaucrats [here, there, and everywhere] with integrity, not ‘bribees’.

Reality: It is much easier for all “Pertinent Parties” within an industry, to ‘fly straight’ than to have to clean up disasters, created by Fools.

Reference: https://www.thenews.com.pk/latest/677631-150-pia-pilots-grounded-after-report-finds-40-possess-fake-licenses

Negligent Airlines, Decades Late, Finally Pay The Piper

It is very interesting as we watch the many negligent airline ‘Executives’, who for decades had the opportunities to require airframes to make their Environmental Control Systems [E.C.S.] of the aircraft they wanted to purchase, Influenza resistant; they did not. Instead, they allowed mediocre filtration systems inside aircraft to be installed. Influenza has existed for a very long time and methodologies such as UVC, for example, which destroy the viruses, have been available for decades. Even electric grid systems can assist on this regard. 

Since the late 1960’s, when the E.C.S. systems were being designed for effective filtration, through the use of such technologies, the E.C.S. makers refused to improve their products because: “It would add additional costs to the aircraft” or, “Added weight to an aircraft is bad”, or “It is hard to kill small germs”. These feeble excuses were also stated by the airframes as rationales for non-improvement in E.C.S. efficiencies for the public’s health. The opposite of the aforementioned occurred due to the inept thinking of Airline ‘Executives’ and airframe ‘Executives’,: they stuffed aircraft with more seats, smaller width seats, and narrower ‘pitch’ between the seats. This certainly has the health effect of possible contaminating  more passengers per flight. While it improved the airlines ticket sales and profitability, it endangered their customers. Yet, airline after airline bragged about how many passengers they were ‘stuffing into each ‘bird’; the public ‘be damned’.  

Today, people are not flying because they are beginning to understand how, for DECADES, they had been treated as mere sheep. Health concerns  of passengers were NOT, and presently are NOT, airline ‘Executives’ concerns.  These same ‘Geniuses of Flight’ in airlines and airframes do NOT MENTION E.C.S. systems inefficiencies, because they are aware of legal liabilities due to their negligence. This E.C.S. contamination problem which exists in ALL COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT, may not be as ludicrous as “Learning to fly a commercial aircraft with an ‘I-Pad'”, but it is much more dangerous to more people, since it effects all of those who fly; both crew and passengers.

We are of the opinion that due to the decades of non-concern for passengers’ physical health and comfort, by both the airframes and airlines, they should NOT be bailed out by monies coming from the governments; Victims should NOT pay their violators. Instead, the ‘Executives’  should: Admit their historic avarice and stupidities; Install virus-stopping systems;  and Return to less cramped seating for the passengers. If some airlines go broke, then ‘survival of the financially fittest’ is being maintained. The inept bunglers certainly did NOT deserve to contaminate their passengers as they have.

Reality: Forget the “Marketing Hype and Smiles”, instead assess sitting in a confined space, for hours, with the ‘horde’.

Reference: http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Business/International/2020/Jun-10/507236-airlines-hit-wall-of-debt-after-covid-grounding.ashx

Air India Learns: Composite Aircraft Advertised “Lightweight” Is ‘Stealthy’; “Fuel Saving” Is ‘Cloaked’

News Analysis: Air India Learns: Composite Aircraft Advertised “Lightweight” Is ‘Stealthy’; “Fuel Saving” Is ‘Cloaked’ since “Manufacturing” may be at odds with “Marketing” where it involves Commercial Airline Manufacturers.

Beyond the varied inherent problems in Carbon/Carbon Composites (as ‘Rain in the Plane’), there is also the problem of strength to highly stressed areas of an aircraft such as the “Wing Box” where it merges into the fuselage. Other areas such as the wing interfaces (hard points) with engine pylon nacelles may require additional support for strength. The list goes on and on.

Where strengthening is required, ‘Doublers’ made of Carbon/Carbon Composite can be fabricated. In many cases, Stainless Steel or Titanium is required for maximum strength. ALL of the ‘Doublers’ add weight; much more than many ‘Marketeers’ will admit to customers.

Fuel burn increases occur, with the added weight of structural enforcements, subsequently added in production. The vaunted: “5%”, “6%”, “10%”, “12%”, or “15%” Fuel Savings, touted by some airframes, is an illusion in many cases.

Since Carbon/Carbon Composite Construction FOR COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT, is with a very short history, it is likely such aircraft can be expected to be written off in a much SHORTER LIFE SPAN. Metal aircraft have decades of life-span confirmation. They are not subject to deterioration from Solar Ray degradation of the metals (as are the adhesives used in Carbon/Carbon Construction). Furthermore de-lamination of the plies (due to stressing over time) weakens the fabrication significantly.

The Ethiopian Airlines Battery Fire, which was widely disseminated in the press, demonstrates another shortcoming of Composites: Heat. Allegedly, the Airframe rebuilt, in purported secrecy, the area that was damaged. “Why the concealment?” many airlines ask. 

Lastly, Composites do not dent; they fracture when hit. Any Landing Gear Failures will demonstrate the “Shattered Egg Shell Principle” as  Composite Aircraft Fuselages hit runways. 

From a Manufacturing perspective: If an Airline wants Longevity, Reliability, and Safety (LRS), Metal Constructions cannot be beat; a long History demonstrates this simple fact.

Alleged “Light-Weight” Construction is an also-ran in the ‘LRS’ Evaluation of Airline Aircraft to Purchase.

What materials may be suitable for Warfare Environment “Expendable” Military Aircraft is not necessarily the best for the travelling public in Commercial Airliners.

Reality.

Reference: http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2023756440_boeingairindiaxml.html

☆ Solar Powered Aircraft Is Designed To Circumnavigate The Globe

News Analysis: The just revealed Solar Powered Aircraft Is Designed To Circumnavigate The Globe with its crew of two. Subsequent to an earlier version of a smaller aircraft, which transited the United States, this version has been designed for Intercontinental travel.

The Entrepreneurs who consummated this Project are to be commended for their

Assumption of Risk (Financial and future Physical), Manufacturing Prowess, Vision, and Tenacity.

In their own manner, they are like a “Felix Baumgartner” of the World,; a MAN to which we hold in Great Esteem for his “Increasing Man’s Scientific Knowledge (At Possible Inordinate Physical Risk to Himself)”.

Some Men Are “Men”; Many Others Are Mere Apparitions of Such.

Reality.

Reference: http://rt.com/news/solar-airplane-global-flight-488/

☆ With Financing, Buyers Will Buy

News Analysis: U.S. Export-Import Bank (Ex-Im) Financing makes it possible for people around the World to purchase American Goods; with Financing, Buyers will Buy. On more expensive items such as aircraft, financing is essential for all but the most capitalized of Corporations or Individuals. For years, the Good Work of  ‘Ex-Im’ have allowed the Exports of American Goods to occur (despite, in some recent cases, slowdowns of sales such as American Electronics due to the U.S. National Security Agency electronic monitoring of the world; for which foreign buyers object).

Many people think that the Hundreds of Billions of Dollars  given by this President (in his first 30 days in Office) should have been DIRECTLY GIVEN to ‘Ex-Im’ rather than Commercial Banks.

It is obvious the Commercial Banks did not loan the monies to Corporations to spur employment (as the Politicians mislead Americans into thinking). The ‘Oblique’ Funding Route costs more money to service.

While  the American Public thinks ‘Ex-Im’ has ‘Bankers’ working for it, Citizens are of the opinion Commercial Banks have “Banksters” working for them.

Reality.

Reference: http://tinyurl.com/kkrvygp

☆ Increases In World Oil Supplies Is Potential Bad News For Commercial Aircraft Manufacturers’ Business Models

News Analysis: Commercial Aircraft Manufacturers Want Airlines to Think the Price of Aviation Fuel can only go UP. By touting the Alleged Weight Savings in their new Composite Carbon/Carbon Construction, they seek Customers. Often, Incorrect Empty Weight Estimates being given Airlines, make  Fuel Saving Percentages look robust. If the Airlines believe the Aviation Fuel Price Increase Rhetoric, widely dispensed by Air Frame Marketing Departments, then Aircraft Purchases are assured (they think). Looming against this Price Increase Allusion is the Oil Supply Increase Reality happening World-Wide.

The Oil Industry has a “Newer Process” of Shale Oil Retrieval that has been largely developed to its most efficient level in America.  The abundant American resources of Shale Oil In North Dakota, Texas, and elsewhere bode well for large increases in supplies. If one considers the enormous Orinoco Sands Deposit in Venezuela (Estimated: 500 Billion to One Trillion Barrels of Oil), anticipated oil prices would surely plummet steeply.

With increases in Supply come Decreases in Prices (all else being equal). The Arab Gulf States need a $90.00 a Barrel of Oil Price to maintain their economies. It is expected that they will decrease their production to offset their Shale Oil ‘Competitor’. Unfortunately, additional Oil Supplies are being produced in newer Off-Shore Fields such as in Brazilian Waters and will be produced in the future in the Arctic Ocean and perhaps Eastern Mediterranean Sea, et al. This additional production should have the $90.00 a Barrel reduced to perhaps $70.00 to $75.00 a Barrel pricing. Even at this level, Oil is making drilling profitable for many Off-Shore Operations and even more so for Oil Activities on land.

Aviation Fuel Pricing would plummet (many Petroleum Engineers think $1.00 to $1.70 per gallon) as a result of the probable World-Wide Oil Supply Increases. Additionally, Aviation Bio-Fuels will help contribute to price reductions for the Airlines. The Conundrum faced by Air Frames, is: “What Concerns can they Create to make Airlines think they ‘Have To Have’ new Aircraft?”

Airlines will find a diminution in Aviation Fuel prices (due to the aforementioned Oil Supply Increases coming On-Line) which will make a Mockery of the Hundred + Millions of Dollars now charged per Plane by the Air Frames; this  so the Airlines can “Save Pennies Per Gallon of Fuel” with their Composite Aircraft?

Reality.

Reference: http://gulfnews.com/business/oil-gas/us-oil-exports-likely-to-drag-down-prices-1.1286567

Qatar Airlines: Pleased With Airbus, Far Less So With Another

News Analysis: Airlines need their New Aircraft on or before their Contracted Delivery Dates (as it appears Qatar will be joyously receiving with its Airbus A350’s). They are tiring of hearing about Aircraft Delays from other Air Frames. It seems that some Air Frames “Promise the Moon” (especially in terms of estimated low fuel burn and projected on-time reliability).

The Benefits of the Technologies the Air Frames now promote, such as All Composite Construction, say next to NOTHING about Structural De-lamination due to Stress (or Cosmic and Solar Radiation at Cruise Elevations), Detonation like a ‘Shattered Egg’ (when the fuselage hits the airport runway as when landing-gear failure arises), nor Flammability of the Carbon/Carbon Composite Construction (from even little Lithium-Ion Batteries).

As the Administrations of Airlines commence to “Wise-Up” to the Games played by SOME Airframes, they will cease being “Freiers” who are easily influenced by the Chicanery offered by Air Frame Marketeers.

Any time a new Aircraft is YEARS LATE in its Delivery to Customers means that the Scope of Work Was Not Properly Estimated and Assets (Human and Financial) were not properly allocated (as also might be not properly estimated is the Aircraft’s Performance, Fuel Burn, and Dispatch Reliability)

Reality.

Reference: http://english.alarabiya.net/en/business/2014/02/12/Qatar-Airways-expects-to-receive-first-A350s-early.html

Air India Disenchanted With Told ‘Tales’ Of New Aircraft Fuel Burn Efficiencies, Etc.

News Analysis: When A Commercial Aircraft Manufacturer “Talks The Talk, It Must Walk The Walk”;  especially with alleged Misrepresentations regarding Estimated Fuel Burn Efficiencies and projected Dispatch Reliability.

Air India had apparently succumbed to the “Lighter Is Better” (LIB) (without defining ‘Lighter’) ‘Marketing Hype’ some say, then purchased significant numbers of the Composite Aircraft; presently, to its Chagrin, many people suggest.

‘LIB’ did have an immediate positive impact on the price of the Aircraft Manufacturer’s Stock (to the delight of some of the Top Retiring Managers who helped think up the ‘scheme’). The Mass Media ravished praise (on that which they new little about) further raising the price of the Stock.

The Engineering Model for this Aircraft apparently made both “Drastic” Engineering Assumptions regarding its “Complete” Composite Construction (from different vendors), Disregard of Flammability Potential, Its Heavy Reliance on Electrical Power (forgoing Hydraulic and Pneumatic Systems), and its Projected Weight vs. its Actual Empty Weight. As an amalgam of all these changes in Aircraft Construction, Logarithmic rather than Arithmetic Changes ensued. This reality to the cost of Billions of Dollars for the Air Frame, Years Late Deliveries, Poor Line Quality in Assembly, and poorer Fuel Efficiency than Advertised many people maintain.

Some Aircraft Engineers suggest that the Shorter Life Span built into the design of this Aircraft (by virtue of its Composite rather than Metal Construction) will further tarnish Air India’s View of its purchases.

People suggest that perhaps a Meditating Shiva can provide some direction in this Continuing Conundrum which Air India, acting honorably, did not bargain for.

Reference: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-11/boeing-says-air-india-unhappy-with-787-dreamliner-s-reliability.html

They Tell Them What They Want Them To Hear (Not What They Need To Know)

News Analysis: The Myopic Marketing Machinations regarding the use of Composite Materials for Aircraft Construction as touted by Airframes and their Mass Media Minions discuss weight reduction compared to Metal Aircraft. While there will be some weight savings between the materials, as well as some design allowances which are more difficult to achieve with Metals, there are some Key Drawbacks which are typically not discussed.

There are Three Main Problems with Composite Civil or Commercial Aircraft: De-lamination, Detonation, and Flammability.

De-lamination: Stress applied to Composite materials can, over time, make the Carbon/Carbon Textile Fabric  de-laminate from other conjoining Fabric. De-lamination makes the sturdiness of the Composites ‘disappear’ to the point of being as strong as a piece of soft fabric. As used in the structure of a fuselage or Wing Box, this could be Catastrophic in flight. It no longer has the strength of the fabricated “Vacuum Bagged and Autoclaved ” original structure.

Secondly, Long Term Exposure to Cosmic and Solar Radiation of a Composite Aircraft in High Altitude Flight will eventually weaken the adhesive thereby allowing Fabric De-lamination to occur.

Thirdly, allegedly, the U.S. B-2 Stealth Composite Bomber has had issues over its ‘brief’ life. The U.S. Air Force is presently seeking funding for a replacement of this Vaunted Aircraft. It is too expensive to maintain and has a shorter life expectancy than Metal Aircraft (is what has been reported in the media). The Leading Edges of the Wings need to be constantly examined for Surface Deterioration from  flying in the skies with particulates in the air.

The American led  Gulf War with Silica Sand particles in the air damaged the B-2’s in their flights from Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri, U.S.A., to Iraq and back. U.S. Air Force Line Maintenance Personnel were quite chagrined by this reality it has been widely reported. What can Airlines expect of this Composite Behavior in flight  that would be different from the U.S. Air Force experiences? The Commercial Airlines will not fly in the Middle East? Hardly.

Detonation: Composite Aircraft cannot land on Airport Runways if they have Landing Gear Failure for example, without detonating the Composites into many Shards (as in an Explosion). Like an Egg Shell that destructs when smashed against something, so too will the underside of a Composite Aircraft have those portions of itself thrown all over a runway. A Metal Aircraft “dents”; a Composite Aircraft “explodes”, in effect.

Flammability: Carbon/Carbon Fabric and Petrochemical Adhesives used to ‘Glue an aircraft together’ are Flammable. The recent Small Battery Episodes causing fire to the Composite Airliners, for which they were grounded for months is a good example of this FACTUAL INHERENT MATERIALS’ LIABILITY. A Small Battery caused extensive aft fuselage damage to an Ethiopian Airlines Aircraft at Heathrow Airport in England. It reportedly took TWO MONTHS for the Airframe to ‘Secretly Repair” the damage. In fact, allegedly NO data as to the Repair Process has been disseminated to the Public nor to other Airlines. Why is that? What does the Airframe NOT WANT potential Customers to know? people ask.

If an Engine Detonation were to occur in flight and hot pieces of the engine (much hotter than a little battery) were to strike the Wing or Fuselage, a fire would be possible. A defective Microwave Oven used in the Galley could overheat, creating a possible fire in the fuselage.

What if the Auxiliary Power Unit were to catch fire and one was flying in such a Composite Aircraft over the Pacific Ocean, far from any airport, at night with a storm occurring below?

Flying into a storm may be hazardous in such a scenario and the greater atmospheric pressure of lower altitude might expand the fire due to more oxygen being present; a possible scenario

METALS IN AIRCRAFT ARE NOT FUEL SOURCES FOR FIRE, Carbon/Carbon Fabrics and the Petrochemical Adhesives ARE; This is not Clever Marketing But Real-World Science.

The Specious Argument of “Weight Savings for Fuel Savings” has a nice sound to it, but ignores the Composite Aircraft Realities of De-lamination, Detonation, And Flammability.

One must ask: “Is Aircraft Safety More Important to Society than Some Fuel Savings to An Airline?”  The answer from Men of Good Conscience is “Safety Wins”; For those who choose Fuel Savings, let them enjoy their potential “Fires in the Sky”.

To those who only write about Composite Aircraft Weight Savings, one must ask: “What about Composites’ Liabilities?”

We tell it as We see it; We are beholden to No One.

Reality is the truth.

Reference: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-25833264

Honduras Sovereignty Law Enacted: Investigation, Persuasion, And Then Elimination Of The Narcotics Aircraft Threat

News Analysis: To stop Cocaine Trafficking in Honduran Skies by over-flights going to America, Honduran Officials have enacted a new law. It requires a 18:00 Hours to 06:00 Hours Curfew for aircraft traveling at 5,500 meters (18,044 ft) altitude and at less than 550 kph  (341 mph). These Aircraft typically have no Flight Plans communicated with Officials and are carrying Illegal Drugs.

When detected at night, Honduran Air Force Fighters will approach the suspect aircraft and tell them by radio to land at a nearby airport for searching for contraband. If they choose to ignore the Air Force, they will be shot down.

This “Day Ruiner” Approach to Illegal Drug Transportation will effectively stifle shipments going North to America through Honduran Air Space.

Some people might think this “Draconian” Law is harsh in that it will kill the Traffickers. While, perhaps true, the number possibly killed by this Law is minuscule to the vast number of Americans who die weekly from Illegal Narcotics Consumption.

Reality.

Reference: http://rt.com/news/honduras-aircraft-drugs-trafficking-822/