Premium News Analysis: Computer Climate Warming Models: Garbage In; Garbage Out ‘GIGO’ is debated by many familiar with Software Information ‘Frailties’. A Computer digests and expounds conclusions from inputs received based on its Programs which contain Processing Algorithms. As such, problems immediately arise as to data input by Computer users.
When NO ONE agrees on a Starting Point to be used as a ‘Baseline Number’, how can “Downstream” data regurgitated by a Computer be held to be Inviolate? For example, does one start a Baseline date for Weather Change at 2000 BC,1000 AD, 1560 AD, 1970 AD, or when? How are naturally occurring Methane releases by plants in to the atmosphere to be valued? What about Methane released by cows? The Variables which contribute to weather change are Innumerable. To aver that inputs for a Computer Model have been correctly deduced for ALL of the possible interacting numerical variables of World Weather CORRECTLY is Laughable. Only Politicians, many of whom do not know any better, can sign up to such brash Ignorance.
Science is based on the “Principle of Refutation”. While different Arguments may lead to the Same or different Conclusion or the Similar Arguments lead to the Same Conclusion, the Validity of the Conclusion may still be Suspect. The Conclusion derived from the Facts are where men Error. The aforementioned Arguments may be based on a Misinterpretation of the Facts. Science continually: Tests the Facts; the Assumptions that were used to establish an Argument as to what the Facts really mean; and, the Veracity of the Conclusion itself. If the Epistemology is wrong, Science will refute the Conclusion and start over again. That is the beauty of the Scientific Method. Brilliant Scientists do not take themselves too seriously; they are Always Learning, so they remain Humble.
Many people are suspect about “Climate Change” or “Global Warming” as being anything other than Natural, nothing more. The Debate will continue since Man does not yet have enough evidence to conclude: if it is ONLY a Natural Process; a Man-Made Process; or Both.
In the Long Term, the Scientific Method will deliver the Truth to Mankind about this Important Subject.
Nothing is Constant In Nature. Reality.
Reference: http://english.pravda.ru/science/earth/03-12-2013/126293-global_warming_fraud_science-0/